However, to put it bluntly, most retail investors are positioned at the bottom of the stock market and are the weakest side in the short-term game. If you are not convinced, you can ask yourself: Are you sure that all the information you get is accurate first-hand information, not second-hand information that has been spread all over the world and it is difficult to tell the truth from the false? Are you sure you can really overcome human nature, be more ruthless than institutions and most retail investors, and strictly abide by trading discipline?According to the market style rotation in the first half of the year, the non-mainstream styles are short-lived rotation. In the first half of the year, the mainstream dividend was high, and it was a new low after the rapid rotation of other industries. Now, the same high dividend is not cost-effective. After the rapid rotation, the market opportunity will still be the mainstream theme, low price and small ticket style. This is the decision of incremental funds, and incremental funds will definitely not engage in high-ranking institutions and the direction of the national team's heavy position.In a bull market, the market is full of liquidity and investors have a high risk appetite, and the stock price is generally higher than the intrinsic value. In a bear market, expectations are pessimistic and liquidity is exhausted, and the stock price is generally lower than the intrinsic value. Although the stock price will deviate from the intrinsic value most of the time, the stock price is infinitely close to the intrinsic value for a long time.
In January and September, the K-line is a Dayang line that runs through five lines, which is called the dragon going out to sea, which is a strong rising signal of the trend turning point;As soon as the data came out, the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in December rose to 97.7%, and there was basically no suspense! The fed's continued interest rate cuts will naturally help our monetary policy to be more relaxed, which is good for the big A!Good morning, old irons, I am your red fire! Investment has logic, trading has methods, here is the logic and actual combat you want most!
If you can't, it means that the winning rate of every small decision you make is not high. Small decisions with low winning rate will be amplified by high-frequency operation, and the result is that the more you do, the more mistakes you make. Therefore, retail investors want to make money through high-frequency decision-making to predict the market, and the probability of success is doomed to be very low, and they can't make a few money. The short-term market is almost a pure game market, but in the long run, the stock price will always fluctuate around the intrinsic value, even a shares are no exception.As soon as the data came out, the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in December rose to 97.7%, and there was basically no suspense! The fed's continued interest rate cuts will naturally help our monetary policy to be more relaxed, which is good for the big A!After the imperial court, the Milky Way started to accelerate again, and December was a month of harvest!